Because of the transitional situation after the fall of Hosni Mubarak, Mahmoud Abbas was able to stay and find for himself an Egyptian support.

 

Mounir Shafiq

 

During the first decade of the twenty-first century, and specifically from 2003 till 2010, the following events took place:

1 - The Zionist army has been defeated before the resistance in Lebanon and Palestine during the wars of 2006 and 2008/2009, through which the enemy lost its prestige and the ability to threat of aggression and invasion. This is a long-term strategic change.

2- U.S. occupation has failed in Iraq, thanks to the heroic resistance and the spread popular uprisings which played a great role in aggravating the Zionist army’s defeat.

3- The Greater Middle East project has been stopped due to the resistance and reluctance axis, along with the failure of the axis betting on the U.S. and undermining the ability of its states on both the Arab and regional levels.

4- Several international poles competitive to the US have emerged: Russia, China, India, Brazil, Turkey, Iran and South Africa. That brought the "uni-polar world order" down, without forming a multi-polar system.

5- A global economic crisis has broken out, which toppled globalization and took the American-European economy towards a sequential deterioration stage.

All those developments have weakened the US and force it to lose the lead, along with opening up a wide range of horizons for competitive countries to emerge and for popular revolutions to outbreak; the revolutions which were suppressed due to global and regional orders that prevailed after the end of the Cold War.

This equation justifies the revolutions of popular youth in the Arab countries during the year 2011. We should focus here, in particular, on the importance of the change that took place in Egypt and its still continuous repercussions, resulted from the strategic importance of Egypt for being Arab, Islamic and a third-world country. It is sufficient here to focus on the Zionist entity losing the Egypt’s Mubarak, who adopted the line of subordination, compromises, concessions and hostility to the resistance and reluctance axis.

With the fall of Hosni Mubarak, Palestinian Authority reached a deadlock, which Mahmoud Abbas and Salam Fayyad were supposed to follow immediately. Today’s Palestinian situation, however, moves to the stage of third Intifada amid the new environment, which dominates the world and the Arab and Islamic states.

Moreover, because of the emerged situation after the fall of Hosni Mubarak has entered into a gel transitional phase especially in political terms, Mahmoud Abbas was able to stay and find for himself an Egyptian support. The principal problem here is that this promotes the security agreement between Ramallah’s authority and the Zionist enemy, which prevents the outbreak of the intifada.

From this point, the Palestinian situation has entered into the fluid phase, where Mahmoud Abbas flees from facing the failure of his strategy, which is dependent on the US, Hosni Mubarak, negotiation process and the hostility to the resistance, through the reconciliation project adopted by the Egyptian military council. The new Palestinian situation is also featured by Abbas resorting to the Security Council under the pretext of request for recognition of the state of Palestine within 1967 borders, accompanied by artificial noise before he escapes again toward reconciliation.

All those facts are nothing but turning around the impasse and escaping from facing resignation and resolving the Authority. Getting out of the Palestinian impasse is not to be achieved through reconciliation that either leads to elections under the occupation, or to a new government upon which Hamas and Fatah would agree, but through reconciliation which leads to the Intifada and the security coordination halt, as well as the re-emergence of the resistance.

Current circumstances and the balance of power are suitable for the outbreak of an Intifada, which imposes the occupation defeat, the unconditional dismantle of settlements in the West Bank and continuing the strategy to Liberate Palestine, all Palestine.